GDPPOTReal Potential GDP (GDPPOT) — Current Value & Historical Data
Real Potential GDP (GDPPOT) Chart & Data Table
Gray bands: NBER recessions
What is Real Potential GDP (GDPPOT)?
Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources.
Current Real Potential GDP (GDPPOT) Value
As of October 1, 2036, the current real potential gross domestic product is 29443.02 Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars. This is the most recent observation available for this series, updated quarterly.
Real Potential GDP Historical Trend
Real Potential Gross Domestic Product rose 0.44% quarter-over-quarter. Over the past year, real potential gross domestic product rose 1.76% from October 2035. In the series' tracked history, the highest recorded value was 29443.02 (October 2036), and the lowest was 2244.70 (January 1949).
Methodology & Source
Source
Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Frequency
Quarterly
Units
Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars
Notes
Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation....
Frequently Asked Questions About Real Potential GDP (GDPPOT)
What is the current real potential gross domestic product?
As of October 1, 2036, real potential gross domestic product stands at 29443.02 Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars.
Where does real potential gross domestic product data come from?
Real Potential Gross Domestic Product data is sourced from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system and related U.S. government agencies. Data quality and historical coverage vary by series.
How often is real potential gross domestic product updated?
This series is updated according to its publication schedule. Check FRED or the source agency for the most current release calendar.
What is the historical high and low for real potential gross domestic product?
In the available data, the highest value was 29443.02 Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars in October 2036, and the lowest was 2244.70 Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars in January 1949.
How has real potential gross domestic product changed over the past year?
Over the past year, real potential gross domestic product increased 1.76%.
See Real Potential GDP in context
GDPPOT is tracked on the Economic Snapshot dashboard, alongside related indicators and historical context.
View the Economic Snapshot dashboard →Related government-spending dashboards
How Real Potential GDP connects to the federal budget across GOVSPENDING.ORG:
Federal Debt
Total public debt, debt held by the public, and intragovernmental holdings.
Receipts vs Outlays
Federal revenue, spending, and the resulting surplus or deficit over time.
Congressional Activity
Recent legislation, appropriations, and fiscal-related bills in Congress.
Interest Expense vs Revenue
How rising debt service costs crowd out federal spending as a share of receipts over time.
Revenue Composition
Federal receipts broken down by source — individual income, corporate, social insurance, excise taxes, and customs duties as shares of total revenue.
Agency Spending (FY 2019 vs FY 2024)
Net outlays by federal agency for FY 2019 and FY 2024, from the Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement. Both nominal and inflation-adjusted comparisons.
Compare Real Potential GDP with related indicators
See how Real Potential GDP stacks up against related series in a side-by-side chart and explainer: